Association of Cumulative Systolic Blood Pressure with Left Atrial Function in the Setting of Normal Left Atrial Size: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Lower left atrial (LA) function is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events; data on risk factors for impaired LA function are limited. We evaluated the effect of cumulative systolic blood pressure (cSBP) from midlife to older age on LA strain in adults with normal LA size.

METHODS

We included participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with LA strain measured on the Visit 5 echocardiogram (2011-2013), excluding those with atrial fibrillation and LA volume index >34ml/m2. cSBP was calculated from Visit 1 (1987-1989) through Visit 5. Linear regression models were used to evaluate associations between cSBP and LA strain measures.

RESULTS

3,859 participants with mean (SD) age of 75.2 (5.0) years were included in the analysis; 725 (18.8%) Black and 2342 (60.7%) women. After adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, heart failure, and coronary heart disease, each 10mmHg higher cSBP was associated with 0.32% (95% CI -0.52%, -0.13%) and 0.37% (95% CI -0.51%, -0.22%) absolute reduction in LA reservoir and conduit strain, respectively. Associations were attenuated after adjustment for left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function and mass (-0.12%; 95% CI, -0.31, 0.06 for reservoir strain and -0.24%; 95% CI -0.38%, -0.10% for conduit strain). In subgroup analyses, the association of cSBP with conduit strain was statistically significant among those with normal LV systolic and diastolic function.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative exposure to elevated blood pressure from midlife to late life was modestly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain in older adults with normal LA size, mostly related to the effect of blood pressure on LV function and mass. However, the association of cSBP and LA conduit strain in subgroups with normal LV function suggests that LA remodeling in response to hypertension occurs before LV dysfunction is detected on echocardiography.

Self-Rated Health in Middle Age and Risk of Hospitalizations and Death: Recurrent Event Analysis of the ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

Self-rated health is a simple measure that may identify individuals who are at a higher risk for hospitalization or death.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the association between a single measure of self-rated health and future risk of recurrent hospitalizations or death.

PARTICIPANTS

Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a community-based prospective cohort study of middle-aged men and women with follow-up beginning from 1987 to 1989.

MAIN MEASURES

We quantified the associations between initial self-rated health with risk of recurrent hospitalizations and of death using a recurrent events survival model that allowed for dependency between the rates of hospitalization and hazards of death, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors.

KEY RESULTS

Of the 14,937 ARIC cohort individuals with available self-rated health and covariate information, 34% of individuals reported "excellent" health, 47% "good," 16% "fair," and 3% "poor" at study baseline. After a median follow-up of 27.7 years, 1955 (39%), 3569 (51%), 1626 (67%), and 402 (83%) individuals with "excellent," "good," "fair," and "poor" health, respectively, had died. After adjusting for demographic factors and medical history, a less favorable self-rated health status was associated with increased rates of hospitalization and death. As compared to those reporting "excellent" health, adults with "good," "fair," and "poor" health had 1.22 (1.07 to 1.40), 2.01 (1.63 to 2.47), and 3.13 (2.39 to 4.09) times the rate of hospitalizations, respectively. The hazards of death also increased with worsening categories of self-rated health, with "good," "fair," and "poor" health individuals experiencing 1.30 (1.12 to 1.51), 2.15 (1.71 to 2.69), and 3.40 (2.54 to 4.56) times the hazard of death compared to "excellent," respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Even after adjusting for demographic and clinical factors, having a less favorable response on a single measure of self-rated health taken in middle age is a potent marker of future hospitalizations and death.

Social relationships, amyloid burden, and dementia: The ARIC-PET study

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid-life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden.

METHODS

Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990-1992). A composite measure, "social relationships," was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012-2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid-life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Among 310 participants without dementia, strong mid-life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late-life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk.

DISCUSSION

Although mid-life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.

Association of diabetes and glycemic control with left atrial function: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although glycemic status is associated with impaired cardiac structure and function, less is known on left atrial (LA) function across the glycemic spectrum. We evaluated the association of diabetes and glycemic control with LA function in a community-based cohort of older adults.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This cross-sectional analysis included 5075 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (mean age 75.5 years, 58 % women, and 20 % Black adults) with echocardiographic strain data for LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile function. Multivariable linear regression was used to assess associations of diabetes status and glycemic control with LA function. In participants without diabetes, we used ordinal linear regression to evaluate associations of fasting glucose and HbA1c with LA function. Compared to individuals with a normal fasting glucose, prevalent diabetes was associated with 0.68 % lower LA conduit function (95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.11 to -0.25) and prediabetes a 0.47 % reduction (95 % CI: 0.85 to -0.09) in fully adjusted analyses. Persons with diabetes and high HbA1c (HgbA1c ≥ 7 % vs <7 %) had 1.05 % lower LA conduit function (95 % CI: 1.63, -0.48). Among individuals without diagnosed diabetes, higher fasting glucose, but not HbA1c, was significantly associated with worse LA conduit function. No significant associations were observed for LA reservoir and contractile function.

CONCLUSIONS

A history of diabetes, prediabetes, and higher fasting glucose levels in persons without diabetes were associated with worse LA conduit function. Corroborative research is needed in prospective cohorts as well as studies that explore underlying mechanisms.

Percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding and death in Medicare beneficiaries

PURPOSE

Among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), a nonpharmacologic option (e.g., percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion [LAAO]) is needed for patients with oral anticoagulant (OAC) contraindications. Among beneficiaries in the Medicare fee-for-service coverage 20% sample databases (2015-18) who had AF and an elevated CHA2DS2-VASc score, we assessed the association between percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding, and death.

METHODS

Patients undergoing percutaneous LAAO were matched to up to five OAC users by sex, age, date of enrollment, index date, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and HAS-BLED score. Overall, 17 156 patients with AF (2905 with percutaneous LAAO) were matched (average ± SD 78 ± 6 years, 44% female). Cox proportional hazards model were used.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 10.3 months. After multivariable adjustments, no significant difference for risk of stroke or death was noted when patients with percutaneous LAAO were compared with OAC users (HRs [95% CIs]: 1.14 [0.86-1.52], 0.98 [0.86-1.10]). There was a 2.94-fold (95% CI: 2.50-3.45) increased risk for hospitalized bleeding for percutaneous LAAO compared with OAC use. Among patients 65 to <78 years old, those undergoing percutaneous LAAO had higher risk of stroke compared with OAC users. No association was present in those ≥78 years.

CONCLUSION

In this analysis of real-world AF patients, percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use was associated with similar risk of death, nonsignificantly elevated risk of stroke, and an elevated risk of bleeding in the post-procedural period. Overall, these results support results of randomized trials that percutaneous LAAO may be an alternative to OAC use for patients with contraindications.

Use of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors and Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitors in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure From 2021 to 2022: An Analysis of Real-World Data

BACKGROUND

Contemporary use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNi) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) has not been described.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed the MarketScan databases for the period January 1, 2021 to July 30, 2022. Validated algorithms were used to identify patients with AF and HF, and to classify patients into HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We assessed the prevalence of SGLT2i and ARNi use overall and by HF type. Additionally, we explored correlates of lower use, including demographics and comorbidities. The study population included 60 927 patients (mean age, 75 years; 43% women) diagnosed with AF and HF (85% with HFpEF, 15% with HFrEF). Prevalence of ARNi use was 11% overall (30% in HFrEF, 8% in HFpEF), whereas the corresponding figure was 6% for SGLT2i (13% in HFrEF, 5% in HFpEF). Use of both medications increased over the study period: ARNi from 9% to 12% (22%-29% in HFrEF, 6%-8% in HFpEF), and SGLT2i from 3% to 9% (6%-16% in HFrEF, 2%-7% in HFpEF). Female sex, older age, and specific comorbidities were associated with lower use of these 2 medication types overall and by HF type.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of ARNi and SGLT2i in patients with AF and HF is suboptimal, particularly among women and older individuals, though use is increasing. These results underscore the need for understanding reasons for these disparities and developing interventions to improve adoption of evidence-based therapies among patients with comorbid AF and HF.

Plasma Ferritin Levels, Incident Heart Failure, and Cardiac Structure and Function: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

Whether iron deficiency contributes to incident heart failure (HF) and cardiac dysfunction has important implications given the prevalence of iron deficiency and the availability of several therapeutics for iron repletion.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to estimate the associations of plasma ferritin level with incident HF overall, HF phenotypes, and cardiac structure and function measures in older adults.

METHODS

Participants in the ongoing, longitudinal ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of prevalent HF and anemia were studied. The associations of plasma ferritin levels with incident HF overall and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Linear regression models estimated the cross-sectional associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function.

RESULTS

The cohort included 3,472 individuals with a mean age of 75 ± 5 years (56% women, 14% Black individuals). In fully adjusted models, lower ferritin was associated with higher risk for incident HF overall (HR: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.08-1.34] per 50% lower ferritin level) and higher risk for incident HFpEF (HR: 1.28 [95% CI: 1.09-1.50]). Associations with incident HFrEF were not statistically significant. Lower ferritin levels were associated with higher E/e' ratio and higher pulmonary artery systolic pressure after adjustment for demographics and HF risk factors but not with measures of left ventricular structure or systolic function.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older adults without prevalent HF or anemia, lower plasma ferritin level is associated with a higher risk for incident HF, HFpEF, and higher measures of left ventricular filling pressure.

Familial Hypercholesterolemia Variant and Cardiovascular Risk in Individuals With Elevated Cholesterol

Importance

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a genetic disorder that often results in severely high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high risk of premature coronary heart disease (CHD). However, the impact of FH variants on CHD risk among individuals with moderately elevated LDL-C is not well quantified.

Objective

To assess CHD risk associated with FH variants among individuals with moderately (130-189 mg/dL) and severely (≥190 mg/dL) elevated LDL-C and to quantify excess CHD deaths attributable to FH variants in US adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A total of 21 426 individuals without preexisting CHD from 6 US cohort studies (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Heart Study Offspring cohort, Jackson Heart Study, and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were included, 63 of whom had an FH variant. Data were collected from 1971 to 2018, and the median (IQR) follow-up was 18 (13-28) years. Data were analyzed from March to May 2023.

Exposures

LDL-C, cumulative past LDL-C, FH variant status.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations between FH variants and incident CHD. The Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model projected excess CHD deaths associated with FH variants in US adults.

Results

Of the 21 426 individuals without preexisting CHD (mean [SD] age 52.1 [15.5] years; 12 041 [56.2%] female), an FH variant was found in 22 individuals with moderately elevated LDL-C (0.3%) and in 33 individuals with severely elevated LDL-C (2.5%). The adjusted hazard ratios for incident CHD comparing those with and without FH variants were 2.9 (95% CI, 1.4-6.0) and 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.9) among individuals with moderately and severely elevated LDL-C, respectively. The association between FH variants and CHD was slightly attenuated when further adjusting for baseline LDL-C level, whereas the association was no longer statistically significant after adjusting for cumulative past LDL-C exposure. Among US adults 20 years and older with no history of CHD and LDL-C 130 mg/dL or higher, more than 417 000 carry an FH variant and were projected to experience more than 12 000 excess CHD deaths in those with moderately elevated LDL-C and 15 000 in those with severely elevated LDL-C compared with individuals without an FH variant.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this pooled cohort study, the presence of FH variants was associated with a 2-fold higher CHD risk, even when LDL-C was only moderately elevated. The increased CHD risk appeared to be largely explained by the higher cumulative LDL-C exposure in individuals with an FH variant compared to those without. Further research is needed to assess the value of adding genetic testing to traditional phenotypic FH screening.

Impact of Sleep Disorders and Disturbed Sleep on Brain Health: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Accumulating evidence supports a link between sleep disorders, disturbed sleep, and adverse brain health, ranging from stroke to subclinical cerebrovascular disease to cognitive outcomes, including the development of Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias. Sleep disorders such as sleep-disordered breathing (eg, obstructive sleep apnea), and other sleep disturbances, as well, some of which are also considered sleep disorders (eg, insomnia, sleep fragmentation, circadian rhythm disorders, and extreme sleep duration), have been associated with adverse brain health. Understanding the causal role of sleep disorders and disturbances in the development of adverse brain health is complicated by the common development of sleep disorders among individuals with neurodegenerative disease. In addition to the role of sleep disorders in stroke and cerebrovascular injury, mechanistic hypotheses linking sleep with brain health and biomarker data (blood-based, cerebrospinal fluid-based, and imaging) suggest direct links to Alzheimer disease-specific pathology. These potential mechanisms and the increasing understanding of the "glymphatic system," and the recognition of the importance of sleep in poststroke recovery, as well, support a biological basis for the indirect (through the worsening of vascular disease) and direct (through specific effects on neuropathology) connections between sleep disorders and brain health. Given promising evidence for the benefits of treatment and prevention, sleep disorders and disturbances represent potential targets for early treatment that may improve brain health more broadly. In this scientific statement, we discuss the evidence supporting an association between sleep disorders and disturbances and poor brain health ranging from stroke to dementia and opportunities for prevention and early treatment.

Plasma Neuronal Growth Regulator 1 May Link Physical Activity to Reduced Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: A Proteome-Wide Study of ARIC Participants

Habitual physical activity (PA) impacts the plasma proteome and reduces the risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). Using a large-scale proteome-wide approach in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants, we aimed to identify plasma proteins associated with PA and determine which of these may be causally related to lower T2D risk. PA was associated with 92 plasma proteins in discovery (P < 1.01 × 10-5), and 40 remained significant in replication (P < 5.43 × 10-4). Eighteen of these proteins were independently associated with incident T2D (P < 1.25 × 10-3), including neuronal growth regulator 1 (NeGR1; hazard ratio per SD 0.85; P = 7.5 × 10-11). Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) inverse variance weighted analysis indicated that higher NeGR1 reduces T2D risk (odds ratio [OR] per SD 0.92; P = 0.03) and was consistent with MR-Egger, weighted median, and weighted mode sensitivity analyses. A stronger association was observed for the single cis-acting NeGR1 genetic variant (OR per SD 0.80; P = 6.3 × 10-5). Coupled with previous evidence that low circulating NeGR1 levels promote adiposity, its association with PA and potential causal role in T2D shown here suggest that NeGR1 may link PA exposure with metabolic outcomes. Further research is warranted to confirm our findings and examine the interplay of PA, NeGR1, adiposity, and metabolic health.

ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS

Performance of the pooled cohort equations in cancer survivors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BACKGROUND

Cancer survivors may have elevated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Therefore, we tested how accurately the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCEs) predict 10-year ASCVD risk in cancer survivors.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the calibration and discrimination of the PCEs in cancer survivors compared to non-cancer participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

We evaluated the PCEs' performance among 1244 cancer survivors and 3849 cancer-free participants who were free of ASCVD at the start of follow-up. Each cancer survivor was incidence-density matched with up to five controls by age, race, sex, and study center. Follow-up began at the first study visit at least 1 year after the diagnosis date of the cancer survivor and finished at the ASCVD event, death, or end of follow-up. Calibration and discrimination were assessed and compared between cancer survivors and cancer-free participants.

RESULTS

Cancer survivors had higher PCE-predicted risk, at 26.1%, compared with 23.1% for cancer-free participants. There were 110 ASCVD events in cancer survivors and 332 ASCVD events in cancer-free participants. The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants by 45.6% and 47.4%, respectively, with poor discrimination in both groups (C-statistic for cancer survivors = 0.623; for cancer-free participants, C = 0.671).

CONCLUSIONS

The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in all participants. The performance of the PCEs was similar in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

Our findings suggest that ASCVD risk prediction tools tailored to survivors of adult cancers may not be needed.

Obstructive sleep apnea, nocturnal hypoxemia, and retinal microvasculature: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Study Objectives

Retinal microvascular pathology (RMP) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are both cardiovascular disease risk factors. Limited data exists on their interrelationship. We tested the hypotheses that OSA and nocturnal hypoxemia would be associated with RMP and vessel calibers.

Methods

We conducted a quasi-cross-sectional analysis of 1625 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Sleep Heart Health Study. Participants completed in-home polysomnography monitoring (1996-1998) and were categorized by OSA severity (apnea-hypopnea index: <5, 5-14.9, and ≥15) and proportion of total sleep time with oxygen saturation < 90% (T90). Retinal photography (1993-1995) was used to assess RMP and measure vascular diameters (central retinal arteriolar equivalent [CRAE] and central retinal venular equivalent [CRVE]). Logistic and linear models were adjusted for demographics, behaviors, and BMI.

Results

Of the participants, 19% had OSA (AHI > 15) and 4% had RMP. Severe OSA was not associated with RMP [OR (95% CI): 1.08 (0.49 to 2.38)] or CRAE in adjusted models. OSA severity showed a positive linear relationship with CRVE; adjusted mean CRVE for those with OSA was 195.8 μm compared to 193.2 μm for those without OSA (Ptrend = 0.03). T90 was strongly associated with CRVE, but not with RMP or CRAE. Adjusted mean CRVE for T90 ≥ 5% was 199.0 and 192.9 for T90 < 1% (ptrend < 0.0001).

Conclusions

OSA and T90 were not associated with RMP or CRAE. However, both OSA and T90 ≥ 5% were associated with wider venules, which may be early and indicative changes of increased inflammation and future risk of stroke and CHD.

Associations Between Mid-Life Psychosocial Measures and Estimated Late Life Amyloid Burden: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-PET Study

Background

Psychosocial factors are modifiable risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (AD). One mechanism linking psychosocial factors to AD risk may be through biological measures of brain amyloid; however, this association has not been widely studied.

Objective

To determine if mid-life measures of social support and social isolation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study cohort are associated with late life brain amyloid burden, measured using florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET).

Methods

Measures of social support and social isolation were assessed in ARIC participants (visit 2: 1990-1992). Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir PET standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs; visit 5: 2012-2014).

Results

Among 316 participants without dementia, participants with intermediate (odds ratio (OR), 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88), or low social support (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.22-0.83) in mid-life were less likely to have elevated amyloid SUVRs, relative to participants with high social support. Participants with moderate risk for social isolation in mid-life (OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.14-0.74) were less likely to have elevated amyloid burden than participants at low risk for social isolation. These associations were not significantly modified by sex or race.

Conclusions

Lower social support and moderate risk of social isolation in mid-life were associated with lower odds of elevated amyloid SUVR in late life, compared to participants with greater mid-life psychosocial measures. Future longitudinal studies evaluating mid-life psychosocial factors, in relation to brain amyloid as well as other health outcomes, will strengthen our understanding of the role of these factors throughout the lifetime.

Association of Supine Hypertension Versus Standing Hypotension With Adverse Events Among Middle-Aged Adults

BACKGROUND

Management of orthostatic hypotension (OH) prioritizes prevention of standing hypotension, sometimes at the expense of supine hypertension. It is unclear whether supine hypertension is associated with adverse outcomes relative to standing hypotension.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the long-term clinical consequences of supine hypertension and standing hypotension among middle-aged adults with and without OH.

METHODS

The ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) measured supine and standing blood pressure (BP) in adults aged 45 to 64 years, without neurogenic OH, between 1987 and 1989. We defined OH as a positional drop in systolic BP ≥20 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥10 mm Hg, supine hypertension as supine BP≥140/≥90 mm Hg, and standing hypotension as standing BP≤105/≤65 mm Hg. Participants were followed for >30 years. We used Cox regression models to examine associations with cardiovascular disease events, all-cause mortality, falls, and syncope.

RESULTS

Of 12 489 participants (55% female, 26% Black, mean age 54 years, SD 6), 4.4% had OH. Among those without OH (N=11 943), 19% had supine hypertension and 21% had standing hypotension, while among those with OH (N=546), 58% had supine hypertension and 38% had standing hypotension. Associations with outcomes did not differ by OH status (P-interactions >0.25). Supine hypertension was associated with heart failure (hazard ratio, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.68-1.99]), falls (hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.02-1.22]), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.37-1.54]), while standing hypotension was only significantly associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.00-1.14]).

CONCLUSIONS

Supine hypertension was associated with higher risk of adverse events than standing hypotension, regardless of OH status. This challenges conventional OH management, which prioritizes standing hypotension over supine hypertension.

Cumulative Use of Proton Pump Inhibitors and Risk of Dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Studies on the association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and dementia report mixed results and do not examine the impact of cumulative PPI use. We evaluated the associations between current and cumulative PPI use and risk of incident dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

METHODS

These analyses used participants from a community-based cohort (ARIC) from the time of enrollment (1987-1989) through 2017. PPI use was assessed through visual medication inventory at clinic visits 1 (1987-1989) to 5 (2011-2013) and reported annually in study phone calls (2006-2011). This study uses ARIC visit 5 as baseline because this was the first visit in which PPI use was common. PPI use was examined 2 ways: current use at visit 5 and duration of use before visit 5 (from visit 1 to 2011, exposure categories: 0 day, 1 day-2.8 years, 2.8-4.4 years, >4.4 years). The outcome was incident dementia after visit 5. Cox proportional hazard models were used, adjusted for demographics, comorbid conditions, and other medication use.

RESULTS

A total of 5,712 dementia-free participants at visit 5 (mean age 75.4 ± 5.1 years; 22% Black race; 58% female) were included in our analysis. The median follow-up was 5.5 years. The minimum cumulative PPI use was 112 days, and the maximum use was 20.3 years. There were 585 cases of incident dementia identified during follow-up. Participants using PPIs at visit 5 were not at a significantly higher risk of developing dementia during subsequent follow-up than those not using PPIs (hazard ratio (HR): 1.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-1.3]). Those who used PPIs for >4.4 cumulative years before visit 5 were at 33% higher risk of developing dementia during follow-up (HR: 1.3 [95% CI 1.0-1.8]) than those reporting no use. Associations were not significant for lesser durations of PPI use.

DISCUSSION

Future studies are needed to understand possible pathways between cumulative PPI use and the development of dementia.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that the use of prescribed PPIs for >4.4 years by individuals aged 45 years and older is associated with a higher incidence of newly diagnosed dementia.

Standing Blood Pressure and Risk of Falls, Syncope, Coronary Heart Disease, and Mortality

BACKGROUND

ACC/AHA guidelines caution against the use of antihypertensive therapy in the setting of low standing systolic BP (SBP) < 110 mm Hg due to unclear benefits.

METHODS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study measured supine and standing SBP in adults aged 45-64 years between 1987 and 1989. We used Cox regression to evaluate the associations of low standing SBP (<110 mm Hg) with risk of falls, syncope, coronary heart disease (CHD), and mortality through December 31, 2019. Falls and syncope were ascertained by hospitalization and outpatient claims; CHD events were adjudicated. Associations were examined overall and in strata of hypertension stage, 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, age, and sex.

RESULTS

Among 12,467 adults followed a median of 24 years (mean age at enrollment 54.1 ± 5.8 years, 55% women, 26% Black adults), 3,000 (24%) had a standing SBP < 110 mm Hg. A standing SBP < 110 mm Hg compared to standing SBP ≥ 110 mm Hg was not significantly associated with falls or syncope, and was associated with a lower risk of CHD events and mortality with HRs of 1.02 (95% CI 0.94, 1.11), 1.02 (0.93, 1.11), 0.88 (0.80, 0.97), and 0.91 (0.86, 0.97), respectively. There were no clinically meaningful differences when stratified by hypertension stage, 10-year ASCVD risk, age, and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

In this community-based population, low standing SBP was common and not significantly associated with falls or syncope, but was associated with a lower risk of CHD and mortality. These findings do not support screening for low standing BP as a risk factor for adverse events.

Personal Health Literacy and Life Simple 7: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background

Personal Health literacy (PHL) is essential in cardiovascular risk management. Hindrances in PHL can lead to poor cardiovascular outcomes.

Purpose

To investigate whether limited PHL is associated with lower likelihoods of i) overall cardiovascular health and ii) individual cardiovascular health components as defined by the American Heart Association's Life Simple (LS7).

Methods

Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants (N=3719; median age[range]: 59[45-84]) completed a PHL questionnaire in 2016-2018. PHL was classified as limited (score ≥10) or adequate (score <10). LS7 components were measured in 2000-2002. Robust Poisson regression was employed to compute prevalence ratios and 95% confidence intervals (PR[95%CI]) of LS7 measures.

Results

14.7% of participants had limited PHL. Limited PHL was associated with lower likelihoods of optimal LS7 (0.69[0.50, 0.95], p=0.02) and average LS7 (0.95[0.88, 1.02], p=0.15) after adjustment. Limited PHL was significantly associated with a 7% lower likelihood of ideal fasting blood glucose level after adjustment (0.93[0.89, 0.98], p<0.01).

Discussion

Limited PHL was modestly associated with suboptimal cardiovascular health and elevated blood glucose, independent of income and education.

Translation to Health Education Practice

Health educators and providers should equitably address PHL barriers to improve cardiovascular management and quality of care for patients and communities.

Association of Lung Function With Cognitive Decline and Incident Dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

We examined the associations between lung function and incident dementia and cognitive decline in 12,688 participants in the ARIC Study who provided lung function measurements in 1990-1992. Cognitive tests were administered up to 7 times, and dementia was ascertained through 2019. We used shared parameter models to jointly fit proportional hazard models and linear mixed-effect models to estimate lung-function-associated dementia rate and cognitive change, respectively. Higher forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were associated with reduced dementia (n = 2,452 persons developed dementia); hazard ratios per 1-L increase in FEV1 and FVC were 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.71, 0.89) and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.89), respectively. Each 1-L increase in FEV1 and FVC was associated with a 0.08-standard deviation (SD) (95% CI: 0.05, 0.12) and a 0.05-SD (95% CI: 0.02, 0.07) attenuation of 30-year cognitive decline, respectively. A 1% increase in FEV1/FVC ratio was associated with 0.008-SD (95% CI: 0.004, 0.012) less cognitive decline. We observed statistical interaction between FEV1 and FVC, suggesting that cognitive declines depended on values of specific FEV1 and FVC (as compared with FEV1, FVC, or FEV1/FVC ratio models that suggested linear incremental associations). Our findings may have important implications for reducing the burden of cognitive decline that is attributable to environmental exposures and associated lung function impairment.

Cardiovascular Autonomic Function and Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Hospitalizations in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities

Rationale: The autonomic nervous system extensively innervates the lungs, but its role in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) outcomes has not been well studied. Objective: We assessed relationships between cardiovascular autonomic nervous system measures (heart rate variability [HRV] and orthostatic hypotension [OH]) and incident COPD hospitalization in the multicenter ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study. Methods: We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals between baseline (1987-1989) autonomic function measures (HRV measures from 2-minute electrocardiograms and OH variables) and incident COPD hospitalizations through 2019. Adjusted analyses included demographic data, smoking status, lung function, comorbidities, and physical activity. We also performed analyses stratified by baseline airflow obstruction. Results: Of the 11,625 participants, (mean age, 53.8 yr), 56.5% were female and 26.3% identified as Black. Baseline mean percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second was 94 ± 17% (standard deviation), and 2,599 participants (22.4%) had airflow obstruction. During a median follow-up time of 26.9 years, there were 2,406 incident COPD hospitalizations. Higher HRV (i.e., better autonomic function) was associated with a lower risk of incident COPD hospitalization. Markers of worse autonomic function (OH and greater orthostatic changes in systolic and diastolic blood pressure) were associated with a higher risk of incident COPD hospitalization (hazard ratio for the presence of OH, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.92). In stratified analyses, results were more robust in participants without airflow obstruction at baseline. Conclusions: In this large multicenter prospective community cohort, better cardiovascular autonomic function at baseline was associated with a lower risk of subsequent hospitalization for COPD, particularly among participants without evidence of lung disease at baseline.

Associations of sleep characteristics in late midlife with late-life hearing loss in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities-Sleep Heart Health Study (ARIC-SHHS)

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated associations of late midlife sleep characteristics with late-life hearing, which adds to the existing cross-sectional evidence and is novel in examining polysomnographic sleep measures and central auditory processing.

METHODS

A subset of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants underwent sleep assessment in the Sleep Heart Health Study in 1996-1998 and hearing assessment in 2016-2017. Peripheral hearing thresholds (0.5-4kHz) assessed by pure-tone audiometry were averaged to calculate speech-frequency pure-tone average in better-hearing ear (higher pure-tone average=worse hearing). Central auditory processing was measured by the Quick Speech-in-Noise Test (lower score=worse performance). Sleep was measured using polysomnography (time spent in stage 1, stage 2, stage 3/4, rapid eye movement sleep; sleep-disordered breathing [apnea-hypopnea index ≥5]) and self-report (habitual sleep duration; excessive daytime sleepiness [Epworth Sleepiness Scale 10]). Linear regression models adjusted for demographic and lifestyle factors with additional adjustment for cardiovascular factors.

RESULTS

Among 719 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities-Sleep Heart Health Study participants (61 ± 5years, 54% female, 100% White), worse speech-frequency pure-tone average was found with sleep-disordered breathing (2.51dB, 95% confidence interval: 0.27, 4.75) and excessive daytime sleepiness (3.35 dB, 95% confidence interval: 0.81, 5.90). Every additional hour of sleep when sleeping >8 hours was associated with worse Quick Speech-in-Noise score (1.61 points, 95% confidence interval: 0.03, 3.19). Every 10-minute increase in rapid eye movement sleep was associated with 0.14-point better Quick Speech-in-Noise score (95% confidence interval: 0.02, 0.25).

CONCLUSIONS

Sleep abnormalities might be risk factors for late-life hearing loss. Future longitudinal studies are needed to confirm these novel findings and clarify the mechanisms.

Parity and Risk of Dementia in Women: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Objective: Reproductive factors, including parity, may contribute to dementia risk, due to hormonal, physiological, social, and demographic factors. We hypothesized that higher parity would be associated with increased dementia risk. Materials and Methods: We utilized data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) community-based cohort study. Participants were recruited in 1987-1989 and followed through 2017. Participants, all born between 1921 and 1945, were from four U.S. communities in Forsyth County, NC; Jackson, MS; Minneapolis, MN; and Washington County, MD. We included all female participants seen at ARIC visit three or five for whom parity and dementia outcomes were available (N = 7,921). The primary exposure was self-reported number of live births. Our primary outcome was dementia, diagnosed via neurocognitive assessments, informant interviews, and expert adjudication. We created Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association between parity and incident dementia, adjusting for demographic factors, education level, apolipoprotein E allele status, and vascular risk factors. We tested for interactions by race and birth cohort. Results: The adjusted hazard ratio was 0.82 (95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.69-0.99) for dementia in women with 0-1 births and 0.85 (95% CI 0.72-0.99) for women with 5+ births, compared to women with 2 births (reference group). This association was present in women born from 1924 to 1934, but not in women born in 1935 or later (p-interaction <0.001). Conclusion: We found an inverted U-shaped association of parity with dementia risk. This effect was modified by birth cohort, suggesting that the association may depend on demographic and sociocultural factors.

Spousal Cognitive Status and Risk for Declining Cognitive Function and Dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Objectives: We investigated the relationship between the cognitive status of participants' spouses and participants' own cognitive outcomes, controlling for mid-life factors. Methods: Participants (n = 1845; baseline age 66-90 years) from the prospective Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study were followed from 2011 to 2019. We used linear regression and Cox proportional hazard models to estimate whether spouses of people with MCI/dementia had lower cognitive functioning and elevated risk of incident dementia. Results: Having a spouse with MCI/dementia was associated with a deficit in cognitive function (b = -0.09 standard deviations; 95% CI = -0.18, 0.00). Adjustment for mid-life risk factors attenuated this association (b = -0.02 standard deviations; 95% CI = -0.10, 0.06). We observed no significant relationship between spousal MCI/dementia status and incident dementia (hazard ratio = 0.97; 95% CI = 0.69, 1.38). Discussion: Spousal cognitive status is not associated with poor cognitive outcomes independent of mid-life factors.

Prescription patterns of P2Y12 inhibitors following revascularization in the United States: 2013-2018

P2Y12 inhibitors (i.e., clopidogrel, prasugrel, or ticagrelor) are effective at reducing adverse cardiovascular outcomes post-revascularization in coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the choice of a specific P2Y12 inhibitor may vary according to the patient's characteristics, and trends in the use of different P2Y12 inhibitors are not well studied in real-world settings. The objective of this study is to determine trends in the prescription patterns of P2Y12 inhibitors in patients with CAD. We studied 137,073 patients with CAD cross-sectionally using the IBM MarketScan database (2013-2018). Patients with CAD prescribed P2Y12 inhibitors within 14 days of index revascularization were included to compare the utilization of P2Y12 inhibitors based on age and clinical characteristics. There were differences in prescription patterns by age. Among patients aged less than or equal to 65 years (N = 92,734), a continuously increased utilization of ticagrelor was observed from 13.7% to 45.6% replacing clopidogrel as the most prescribed medication by 2018. Similarly, ticagrelor was the choice of drug among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Among the patients at high bleeding risk, clopidogrel remained the most prescribed medication with use in 50.6% of patients in 2018 in patients aged less than or equal to 65 years. Contrarily, among the older adults with age 65 or above (N = 44,339), although ticagrelor use increased with time, clopidogrel remained the most utilized drug and was used by 66.2% of patients in 2018. Additionally, clopidogrel was the preferred medication among patients with stroke history. With the increasing use of ticagrelor in real-world practice, further research is needed to observe its impact on cardiovascular outcomes.

Use of SGLT2i and ARNi in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure in 2021-2022: an analysis of real-world data

Objective

To evaluate utilization of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors (ARNi) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF).

Methods

We analyzed the MarketScan databases for the period 1/1/2021 to 6/30/2022. Validated algorithms were used to identify patients with AF and HF, and to classify patients into HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We assessed the prevalence of SGLT2i and ARNi use overall and by HF type. Additionally, we explored correlates of lower utilization, including demographics and comorbidities.

Results

The study population included 60,927 patients (mean age 75, 43% female) diagnosed with AF and HF (85% with HFpEF, 15% with HFrEF). Prevalence of ARNi use was 11% overall (30% in HFrEF, 8% in HFpEF), while the corresponding figure was 6% for SGLT2i (13% in HFrEF, 5% in HFpEF). Use of both medications increased over the study period: ARNi from 9% to 12% (from 22% to 29% in HFrEF, from 6% to 8% in HFpEF), and SGLT2i from 3% to 9% (from 6% to 16% in HFrEF, from 2% to 7% in HFpEF). Female sex, older age, and specific comorbidities were associated with lower utilization of these two medication types overall and by HF type.

Conclusion

Use of ARNi and SGLT2i in patients with AF and HF is suboptimal, particularly among females and older individuals, though utilization is increasing. These results underscore the need for understanding reasons for these disparities and developing interventions to improve adoption of evidence-based therapies among patients with comorbid AF and HF.

Development and Characterization of Proteomic Aging Clocks in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Biological age may be estimated by proteomic aging clocks (PACs). Previous published PACs were constructed either in smaller studies or mainly in White individuals, and they used proteomic measures from only one-time point. In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of about 12,000 persons followed for 30 years (around 75% White, 25% Black), we created de novo PACs and compared their performance to published PACs at two different time points. We measured 4,712 plasma proteins by SomaScan in 11,761 midlife participants, aged 46-70 years (1990-92), and 5,183 late-life pariticpants, aged 66-90 years (2011-13). All proteins were log2-transformed to correct for skewness. We created de novo PACs by training them against chronological age using elastic net regression in two-thirds of healthy participants in midlife and late life and compared their performance to three published PACs. We estimated age acceleration (by regressing each PAC on chronological age) and its change from midlife to late life. We examined their associations with mortality from all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and lower respiratory disease (LRD) using Cox proportional hazards regression in all remaining participants irrespective of health. The model was adjusted for chronological age, smoking, body mass index (BMI), and other confounders. The ARIC PACs had a slightly stronger correlation with chronological age than published PACs in healthy participants at each time point. Associations with mortality were similar for the ARIC and published PACs. For late-life and midlife age acceleration for the ARIC PACs, respectively, hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation were 1.65 and 1.38 (both p<0.001) for all-cause mortality, 1.37 and 1.20 (both p<0.001) for CVD mortality, 1.21 (p=0.03) and 1.04 (p=0.19) for cancer mortality, and 1.46 and 1.68 (both p<0.001) for LRD mortality. For the change in age acceleration, HRs for all-cause, CVD, and LRD mortality were comparable to those observed for late-life age acceleration. The association between the change in age acceleration and cancer mortality was insignificant. In this prospective study, the ARIC and published PACs were similarly associated with an increased risk of mortality and advanced testing in relation to various age-related conditions in future studies is suggested.

Multi-dimensional sleep and mortality: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

STUDY OBJECTIVES

Multiple sleep characteristics are informative of health, sleep characteristics cluster, and sleep health can be described as a composite of positive sleep attributes. We assessed the association between a sleep score reflecting multiple sleep dimensions, and mortality. We tested the hypothesis that more favorable sleep (higher sleep scores) is associated with lower mortality.

METHODS

The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) is a racially and ethnically-diverse multi-site, prospective cohort study of US adults. Sleep was measured using unattended polysomnography, 7-day wrist actigraphy, and validated questionnaires (2010-2013). 1726 participants were followed for a median of 6.9 years (Q1-Q3, 6.4-7.4 years) until death (171 deaths) or last contact. Survival models were used to estimate the association between the exposure of sleep scores and the outcome of all-cause mortality, adjusting for socio-demographics, lifestyle, and medical comorbidities; follow-up analyses examined associations between individual metrics and mortality. The exposure, a sleep score, was constructed by an empirically-based Principal Components Analysis on 13 sleep metrics, selected a priori.

RESULTS

After adjusting for multiple confounders, a 1 standard deviation (sd) higher sleep score was associated with 25% lower hazard of mortality (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 0.75; 95% Confidence interval: [0.65, 0.87]). The largest drivers of this association were: night-to-night sleep regularity, total sleep time, and the Apnea-Hypopnea Index.

CONCLUSION

More favorable sleep across multiple characteristics, operationalized by a sleep score, is associated with lower risk of death in a diverse US cohort of adults. Results suggest that interventions that address multiple dimensions may provide novel approaches for improving health.

Sleep apnea, hypoxia, and late-onset epilepsy: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Sleep apnea is associated with unexplained epilepsy in older adults in small studies. We sought to determine the relationship between sleep apnea and additional sleep characteristics and late-onset epilepsy, adjusting for comorbidities, using data from the large, prospective Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study cohort.

METHODS

We used Medicare claims to identify cases of late-onset epilepsy (LOE) in ARIC participants. We used polysomnography data from 1309 ARIC participants who also participated in the Sleep Heart Health Study in 1995-1998, and demographic and comorbidity data from ARIC. Later risk of LOE was evaluated using survival analysis with a competing risk of death. We also used survival analysis in 2672 ARIC participants to identify the association between self-reported obstructive sleep apnea (2011-2013), and the risk of subsequent LOE.

RESULTS

Late-midlife oxygen desaturation to less than 80% during sleep was associated with subsequent development of LOE, adjusted subhazard ratio 3.28 (1.18-9.08), but the apnea-hypopnea index was not related. Participant report of diagnosis of sleep apnea in 2011-2013 was also associated with subsequent LOE, adjusted subhazard ratio 2.59 (1.24-5.39).

CONCLUSIONS

Sleep apnea and oxygen saturation nadir during sleep are associated with LOE, independently of hypertension and other comorbidities. These potentially modifiable risk factors could have large clinical implications for LOE.

Venous thromboembolism mortality and trends in older US adults, 2011-2019

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) affects 1.2 million people per year in the United States. With several clinical changes in diagnosis and treatment approaches in the past decade, we evaluated contemporary post-VTE mortality risk profiles and trends. Incident VTE cases were identified from the 2011-2019 Medicare 20% Sample, which is representative of nearly all Americans aged 65 and older. The social deprivation index was linked from public data; race/ethnicity and sex were self-reported. The all-cause mortality risk 30 days and 1 year after incident VTE was calculated in demographic subgroups and by prevalent cancer diagnosis status using model-based standardization. Risks for major cancer types, risk differences by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and socio-economic status (SES), and trends over time are also reported. The all-cause mortality risk among older US adults following incident VTE was 3.1% (95% CI 3.0-3.2) at 30 days and 19.6% (95% CI 19.2-20.1) at 1 year. For cancer-related VTE events, the age-sex-race-standardized risk was 6.0% at 30 days and 34.7% at 1 year. The standardized 30-day and 1-year risks were higher among non-White beneficiaries and among those with low SES. One-year mortality risk decreased 0.28 percentage points per year (95% CI 0.16-0.40) on average across the study period, with no trend observed for 30-day mortality risk. In sum, all-cause mortality risk following incident VTE has decreased slightly in the last decade, but racial and socio-economic disparities persist. Understanding patterns of mortality among demographic subgroups and in cancer-associated events is important for targeting efforts to improve VTE management.

Prediabetes, intervening diabetes and subsequent risk of dementia: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this work was to evaluate whether the association of prediabetes with dementia is explained by the intervening onset of diabetes.

METHODS

Among participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study we defined baseline prediabetes as HbA1c 39-46 mmol/mol (5.7-6.4%) and subsequent incident diabetes as a self-reported physician diagnosis or use of diabetes medication. Incident dementia was ascertained via active surveillance and adjudicated. We quantified the association of prediabetes with dementia risk before and after accounting for the subsequent development of diabetes among ARIC participants without diabetes at baseline (1990-1992; participants aged 46-70 years). We also evaluated whether age at diabetes diagnosis modified the risk of dementia.

RESULTS

Among 11,656 participants without diabetes at baseline, 2330 (20.0%) had prediabetes. Before accounting for incident diabetes, prediabetes was significantly associated with the risk of dementia (HR 1.12 [95% CI 1.01, 1.24]). After accounting for incident diabetes, the association was attenuated and non-significant (HR 1.05 [95% CI 0.94, 1.16]). Earlier age of onset of diabetes had the strongest association with dementia: HR 2.92 (95% CI 2.06, 4.14) for onset before 60 years; HR 1.73 (95% CI 1.47, 2.04) for onset at 60-69 years; and HR 1.23 (95% CI 1.08, 1.40) for onset at 70-79 years.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Prediabetes is associated with dementia risk but this risk is explained by the subsequent development of diabetes. Earlier age of onset of diabetes substantially increases dementia risk. Preventing or delaying progression of prediabetes to diabetes will reduce dementia burden.

Association of abnormal p-wave parameters with brain MRI morphology: The atherosclerosis risk in communities neurocognitive study (ARIC-NCS)

BACKGROUND

Recent evidence indicates that abnormal P-wave parameters (PWPs)-ECG markers of atrial myopathy-are associated with incident dementia, independent of atrial fibrillation (AF) and clinical ischemic stroke. However, the mechanisms remain unclear and may include subclinical vascular brain injury. Hence, we evaluated the association of abnormal PWPs with brain MRI correlates of vascular brain injury in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS).

METHODS

ARIC-NCS participants who underwent 3T brain MRI scans in 2011-2013 were included. PWPs were measured from standard 12-lead ECGs. Brain MRI outcomes included cortical infarcts, lacunar infarcts, cerebral microhemorrhages, brain volumes, and white matter disease (WMD) volume. We used weighted multivariable logistic and linear regression to evaluate the associations of abnormal PWPs with brain MRI outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 1715 participants (mean age, 76.1 years; 61% women; 29% Black), 797 (46%) had ≥1 abnormal PWP. After multivariable adjustment, including adjusting for prevalent AF, abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (aPTFV1) and prolonged P-wave duration (PPWD) were associated with increased odds of both cortical (OR 1.41; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.74 and OR 1.30; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.63, respectively) and lacunar infarcts (OR 1.36; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.63 and OR 1.37; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.65, respectively). Advanced interatrial block (aIAB) was associated with higher odds of subcortical microhemorrhage (OR 2.04; 95% CI, 1.36 to 3.06). Other than a significant association between aPTFV1 with lower parietal lobe volume, there were no other significant associations with brain or WMD volume.

CONCLUSION

In this exploratory analysis of a US community-based cohort, ECG surrogates of atrial myopathy are associated with a higher prevalence of brain infarcts and microhemorrhage, suggesting subclinical vascular brain injury as a possible mechanism underlying the association of atrial myopathy with dementia.

Dementia occurring over a 32-year follow-up attributable to hypertension observed at different ages: Implications for dementia prevention

INTRODUCTION

The fraction of dementia attributable to hypertension might vary depending on the age of the population considered and the age through which dementia occurs.

METHODS

In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we quantified population attributable fractions (PAF) of dementia by age 80 and 90 from hypertension assessed at ages of 45-54 (n = 7572), 55-64 (n = 12,033), 65-74 (n = 6561), and 75-84 (n = 2086).

RESULTS

The PAF for dementia by age 80 from all non-normal blood pressure at ages 45-54 was 15.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 6.9%-22.3%), 19.1% (95% CI = 9.9%-26.9%) at ages 55-64, and 19.9% (95% CI = -4.4%-38.5%) at ages 65-74. The strongest PAFs were from stage 2 hypertension (11.9%-21.3%). For dementia by age 90, PAFs from non-normal blood pressure up through age 75 were smaller (10.9%-13.8%), and non-significant by age 75-84.

DISCUSSION

Interventions targeting hypertension even in early late life might reduce a sizeable proportion of dementia.

HIGHLIGHTS

We estimated prospective population attributable risks of dementia for hypertension. 15%-20% of dementia cases by age 80 are from non-normal blood pressure (BP). Associations between hypertension and dementia persisted through age 75. Midlife to early late-life BP control might reduce a large proportion of dementia.

Sleep Architecture, Obstructive Sleep Apnea, and Cognitive Function in Adults

Importance

Good sleep is essential for health, yet associations between sleep and dementia risk remain incompletely understood. The Sleep and Dementia Consortium was established to study associations between polysomnography (PSG)-derived sleep and the risk of dementia and related cognitive and brain magnetic resonance imaging endophenotypes.

Objective

To investigate association of sleep architecture and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) with cognitive function in the Sleep and Dementia Consortium.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Sleep and Dementia Consortium curated data from 5 population-based cohorts across the US with methodologically consistent, overnight, home-based type II PSG and neuropsychological assessments over 5 years of follow-up: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Heart Study (FHS), Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study, and Study of Osteoporotic Fractures. Sleep metrics were harmonized centrally and then distributed to participating cohorts for cohort-specific analysis using linear regression; study-level estimates were pooled in random effects meta-analyses. Results were adjusted for demographic variables, the time between PSG and neuropsychological assessment (0-5 years), body mass index, antidepressant use, and sedative use. There were 5946 participants included in the pooled analyses without stroke or dementia. Data were analyzed from March 2020 to June 2023.

Exposures

Measures of sleep architecture and OSA derived from in-home PSG.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were global cognitive composite z scores derived from principal component analysis, with cognitive domains investigated as secondary outcomes. Higher scores indicated better performance.

Results

Across cohorts, 5946 adults (1875 females [31.5%]; mean age range, 58-89 years) were included. The median (IQR) wake after sleep onset time ranged from 44 (27-73) to 101 (66-147) minutes, and the prevalence of moderate to severe OSA ranged from 16.9% to 28.9%. Across cohorts, higher sleep maintenance efficiency (pooled β per 1% increase, 0.08; 95% CI, 0.03 to 0.14; P < .01) and lower wake after sleep onset (pooled β per 1-min increase, -0.07; 95% CI, -0.13 to -0.01 per 1-min increase; P = .02) were associated with better global cognition. Mild to severe OSA (apnea-hypopnea index [AHI] ≥5) was associated with poorer global cognition (pooled β, -0.06; 95% CI, -0.11 to -0.01; P = .01) vs AHI less than 5; comparable results were found for moderate to severe OSA (pooled β, -0.06; 95% CI, -0.11 to -0.01; P = .02) vs AHI less than 5. Differences in sleep stages were not associated with cognition.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that better sleep consolidation and the absence of OSA were associated with better global cognition over 5 years of follow-up. These findings suggest that the role of interventions to improve sleep for maintaining cognitive function requires investigation.

SGLT2 Inhibitors Are Associated With Reduced Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: An Analysis of Real-World Data

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and other second-line diabetes therapies with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), as well as conduct head-to-head comparisons between SGLT2 inhibitors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using data from the MarketScan databases (January 1, 2013, through December 31, 2019), SGLT2 inhibitor users were matched with up to five other second-line therapy users by age, sex, date of enrollment, and date of second-line therapy initiation. The primary composite outcome included stroke, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and heart failure. Hazard ratios were estimated, adjusting for demographics and a propensity score reflecting comorbidities and medications.

RESULTS

In this study population of 313,396 patients (mean age 53±10 years; 47% female), 9787 incident CVD events occurred over a median follow-up of 1.36 years. After multivariable adjustments, SGLT2 inhibitor users had a lower risk of CVD than other second-line therapy users (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.71). Significant associations were also observed when each CVD outcome was assessed separately. No differences were noted when comparing individual SGLT2 inhibitors.

CONCLUSION

SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a clinically meaningfully lower CVD risk in the real-world setting. In head-to-head comparisons, the different SGLT2 inhibitors were consistent in their protective associations with CVD. This suggests that as a class, SGLT2 inhibitors may have widespread benefit in preventing CVD among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Association of Smokeless Tobacco Use With Incident Peripheral Artery Disease: Results From the Atherosclerotic Risk in Communities Study

INTRODUCTION

Cigarette smoking is associated with an increased risk for peripheral artery disease. It is unknown whether smokeless tobacco, a noncombustible form of tobacco exposure, is also associated with increased peripheral artery disease risk. Using data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we tested the hypothesis that the use of smokeless tobacco is associated with a higher risk of developing peripheral artery disease.

METHODS

Participants with peripheral artery disease at baseline were excluded. Smokeless tobacco use was assessed 3 times from 1987 to 1995, and peripheral artery disease events accrued from 1987 to 2018. Smokeless tobacco was modeled as a time-dependent exposure in Cox regression models. Analyses were completed in 2021.

RESULTS

This study included 14,344 participants with a baseline mean (SD) age of 54.1 (5.7) years; 54.8% were female, and 26.4% were Black. There were 635 incident peripheral artery disease events over a median follow-up of 27.6 years (maximum of 32.1 years). The peripheral artery disease incidence rate was 4.44 per 1,000 person-years among those who used smokeless tobacco compared with 1.74 per 1,000 person-years for those who did not. The hazard ratio for current versus never smokeless tobacco use was 1.94 (95% CI=1.31, 2.88) after adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics and cigarette smoking. Peripheral artery disease incidence rate among those currently using smokeless tobacco was similar to that of those who currently smoke cigarette (3.39 per 1,000 person-years).

CONCLUSIONS

Current smokeless tobacco use was associated with high rates of peripheral artery disease, similar to cigarette smoking. Future research should evaluate the effect of cessation of noncombustible tobacco on incident peripheral artery disease.

Changes in Cardiovascular Health Across Midlife and Late-Life and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Markers of Cerebral Vascular Disease in Late-Life

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular health may be used for prevention of cerebral vascular disease; however, data on the association of cardiovascular health across midlife and late-life with late-life cerebral vascular disease are lacking. Our aim was to examine whether midlife or late-life cardiovascular health as well as changes of cardiovascular health within midlife and between midlife and late-life were associated with prevalence of magnetic resonance imaging markers of cerebral vascular disease at late-life.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study including 1638 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who took part in 2 visits at midlife (mean ages, 53 and 59 years), and a late-life visit (mean age, 76 years). A cardiovascular health Life's Simple 7 score (range, 0-12/0-14, depending on diet availability) including 6 out of 7 items was calculated at each visit, with weight assigned to each item as poor (0), intermediate (1), or ideal (2). Participants underwent 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging scans in late-life visit. Outcomes were white matter hyperintensity volume, microbleeds, and lacunar, subcortical, and cortical infarcts at late-life. Linear and logistic regression models were used to assess the associations of cardiovascular health in midlife and late-life, and improvement of cardiovascular health within midlife, and from midlife to late-life with magnetic resonance imaging markers of cerebral vascular disease, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

A higher cardiovascular health in midlife, improvement of cardiovascular health within midlife, higher cardiovascular health at late-life, and improvement of cardiovascular health from midlife to late-life were associated with a lower prevalence of cerebral vascular disease markers. For example, improvement in cardiovascular health (per point) from midlife to late-life was associated with smaller white matter hyperintensity volume (β, -0.07 [95% CI, -0.10 to -0.04]) and lower odds of microbleeds (odds ratio, 0.93 [0.90-0.97]), lacunar (odds ratio, 0.93 [0.89-0.97]), subcortical (odds ratio, 0.93 [0.89-0.97]), and cortical infarcts (odds ratio, 0.92 [0.87-0.97]).

CONCLUSIONS

Improving cardiovascular health within midlife and from midlife to late-life may prevent development of cerebral vascular disease.

Association of change in cardiovascular risk factors with incident dementia

INTRODUCTION

We evaluated whether better cardiovascular health at midlife and improvement of cardiovascular health within midlife were associated with dementia risk.

METHODS

Two longitudinal population-based studies were used: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) (n = 11,460/visits at ages 54 and 60), and Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility (AGES)-Reykjavik (n = 3907/visit at age 51). A cardiovascular health score (range 0-12/0-14, depending on diet availability) including six/seven items was calculated at each visit, with weight assigned to each item as poor (0), intermediate (1), or ideal (2). Cardiovascular health was defined as low (score 0-4/0-5), intermediate (5-7/6-9), or high (8-12/10-14). Incident dementia was ascertained through linkage to health records and with neuropsychological examinations.

RESULTS

Midlife high compared to low cardiovascular health (hazard ratios [HRs]: for ARIC: 0.60 [95% confidence interval: 0.52, 0.69]); for AGES-Reykjavik: 0.83 [0.66, 0.99] and improvement of cardiovascular health score within midlife (HR per one-point increase: ARIC: 0.94 [0.92, 0.96]) were associated with lower dementia risk.

DISCUSSION

Better cardiovascular health at midlife and improvement of cardiovascular health within midlife are associated with lower dementia risk.

HIGHLIGHTS

Cardiovascular health and dementia were studied in two large cohort studies. Better cardiovascular health at midlife relates to lower dementia risk. Improvement of cardiovascular health within midlife relates to lower dementia risk. Promotion of cardiovascular health at midlife can help to reduce dementia risk.

OSA and Subsequent Risk of Hospitalization With Pneumonia, Respiratory Infection, and Total Infection: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

OSA has been linked to microaspiration, systemic inflammation, and suboptimal immune function.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is OSA prospectively associated with risk of hospitalization for pneumonia, respiratory, and total infections?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Prospective cohort. Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (N = 1,586) underwent polysomnography in 1996-1998 and were followed up through 2018 for infection-related hospitalizations. The apnea-hypopnea index (AHI; events/h) was used to categorize participants as having severe OSA (≥ 30), moderate OSA (15-29), mild OSA (5-14), or a normal breathing pattern (< 5). Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

ARIC participants were on average 62.7 (SD = 5.5) years of age, and 52.8% were female. Severe OSA was present in 6.0%, moderate OSA in 12.7%, mild OSA in 30.0%, and normal breathing in 51.3%. A total of 253 hospitalizations with pneumonia occurred over a median 20.4 (max, 22.9) years' follow-up. Participants with severe OSA were at 1.87 times (95% CI, 1.19-2.95) higher risk of hospitalization with pneumonia compared with those with a normal breathing pattern after adjustment for demographics and lifestyle behaviors. Results were attenuated modestly after adjustment for BMI (1.62 [0.99-2.63]), and prevalent asthma and COPD (1.62 [0.99-2.63]). A similar pattern existed for hospitalization with respiratory infection and composite infection (demographic and behavior-adjusted HRs: 1.47 [0.96-2.25] and 1.48 [1.07-2.04], respectively).

INTERPRETATION

Severe OSA was associated with increased risk of hospitalizations with pneumonia in this community-based cohort. OSA patients may benefit from more aggressive efforts to prevent pneumonia and other infectious conditions.

Epidemiology and prevention of venous thromboembolism

Venous thromboembolism, that consists of the interrelated conditions deep-vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is an under-appreciated vascular disease. In Western regions, approximately 1 in 12 individuals will be diagnosed with venous thromboembolism in their lifetime. Rates of venous thromboembolism are lower in Asia, but data from other regions are sparse. Numerous risk factors for venous thromboembolism have been identified, which can be classified as acute or subacute triggers (provoking factors that increase the risk of venous thromboembolism) and basal or acquired risk factors (which can be modifiable or static). Approximately 20% of individuals who have a venous thromboembolism event die within 1 year (although often from the provoking condition), and complications are common among survivors. Fortunately, opportunities exist for primordial prevention (prevention of the development of underlying risk factors), primary prevention (management of risk factors among individuals at high risk of the condition) and secondary prevention (prevention of recurrent events) of venous thromboembolism. In this Review, we describe the epidemiology of venous thromboembolism, including the incidence, risk factors, outcomes and opportunities for prevention. Meaningful health disparities exist in both the incidence and outcomes of venous thromboembolism. We also discuss these disparities as well as opportunities to reduce them.

Proteomic Predictors of Incident Diabetes: Results From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

OBJECTIVE

The plasma proteome preceding diabetes can improve our understanding of diabetes pathogenesis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In 8,923 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants (aged 47-70 years, 57% women, 19% Black), we conducted discovery and internal validation for associations of 4,955 plasma proteins with incident diabetes. We externally validated results in the Singapore Multi-Ethnic Cohort (MEC) nested case-control (624 case subjects, 1,214 control subjects). We used Cox regression to discover and validate protein associations and risk-prediction models (elastic net regression with cardiometabolic risk factors and proteins) for incident diabetes. We conducted a pathway analysis and examined causality using genetic instruments.

RESULTS

There were 2,147 new diabetes cases over a median of 19 years. In the discovery sample (n = 6,010), 140 proteins were associated with incident diabetes after adjustment for 11 risk factors (P < 10-5). Internal validation (n = 2,913) showed 64 of the 140 proteins remained significant (P < 0.05/140). Of the 63 available proteins, 47 (75%) were validated in MEC. Novel associations with diabetes were found for 22 the 47 proteins. Prediction models (27 proteins selected by elastic net) developed in discovery had a C statistic of 0.731 in internal validation, with ΔC statistic of 0.011 (P = 0.04) beyond 13 risk factors, including fasting glucose and HbA1c. Inflammation and lipid metabolism pathways were overrepresented among the diabetes-associated proteins. Genetic instrument analyses suggested plasma SHBG, ATP1B2, and GSTA1 play causal roles in diabetes risk.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 47 plasma proteins predictive of incident diabetes, established causal effects for 3 proteins, and identified diabetes-associated inflammation and lipid pathways with potential implications for diagnosis and therapy.

Effect of Chronic Digoxin Use on Mortality and Heart Failure Hospitalization in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Background Digoxin acutely increases cardiac output in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and right ventricular failure; however, the effects of chronic digoxin use in PAH are unclear. Methods and Results Data from the Minnesota Pulmonary Hypertension Repository were used. The primary analysis used likelihood of digoxin prescription. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or heart failure (HF) hospitalization. Secondary end points included all-cause mortality, HF hospitalization, and transplant-free survival. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses determined the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs for the primary and secondary end points. Among 205 patients with PAH in the repository, 32.7% (n=67) were on digoxin. Digoxin was more often prescribed to patients with severe PAH and right ventricular failure. After propensity score-matching, 49 patients were digoxin users, and 70 patients were nonusers; of these 31 (63.3%) in the digoxin group and 41 (58.6%) in nondigoxin group met the primary end point during a median follow-up time of 2.1 (0.6-5.0) years. Digoxin users had a higher combined all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization (HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.11-2.99]), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.06-3.49]), HF hospitalization (HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.07-3.35]), and worse transplant-free survival (HR, 2.00 [95% CI, 1.12-3.58]) even after adjusting for patient characteristics and severity of PAH and right ventricular failure. Conclusions In this retrospective, nonrandomized cohort, digoxin treatment was associated with greater all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization, even after multivariate correction. Future randomized controlled trials should assess the safety and efficacy of chronic digoxin use in PAH.

Associations of Late-Life Sleep Medication Use With Incident Dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Sleep medications may contribute to dementia development or indicate sleep disturbances that are markers of or contributors to neurologic disease. The objective of this study was to examine the use of sleep medications and incident dementia in a community-based cohort of older adults. We hypothesize late-life sleep medication use is associated with a greater risk of dementia.

METHODS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study is an ongoing community-based cohort study. ARIC participants taking barbiturates, benzodiazepines, antidepressants, non-benzodiazepine receptor agonists (Z-drugs), or other hypnotics in 2011-2013 were categorized as sleep medication users. Participants were followed through 2019 for incident dementia. Logistic regression propensity scores were used to match sleep medication users with nonusers (1:2). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for time to dementia diagnosis with adjustment for demographics, lifestyle characteristics, and cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

One-quarter of the eligible ARIC participants used sleep medications. In the matched sample (N = 4 197; 69% female; mean age 75.3 + 5.0 years), 632 dementia cases were ascertained over a median follow-up of 6.5 years. In the fully adjusted model, sleep medication use compared to nonuse was associated with a 48% greater risk of dementia (HR: 1.48; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.26-1.74).

CONCLUSION

To expand on these findings, studies with longer follow-up and earlier assessment of sleep medication use are needed. Furthermore investigation of the potential dose-response association of multiple sleep medications and the potential causal role of sleep medications in the development of dementia may be clinically meaningful.

Kidney function, bone-mineral metabolism markers, and calcification of coronary arteries, aorta, and cardiac valves in older adults

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The contribution of kidney dysfunction, especially at mild-to-moderate stages, and bone-mineral metabolism (BMM) markers to vascular calcification remains controversial or unclear. We comprehensively evaluated the association of kidney and BMM markers with coronary artery calcification (CAC) and extra-coronary calcification (ECC).

METHODS

In 1931 ARIC participants (age 73-95 years) without coronary heart disease at visit 7 (2018-19), we investigated the associations of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (with creatinine, cystatin C, and both) and five serum BMM markers (calcium, fibroblast growth factor 23, magnesium, parathyroid hormone, and phosphorus) with high CAC and ECC (sex-race specific ≥75th vs. <75th percentile Agatston score) or any vs. zero CAC and ECC using multivariable logistic regression. For eGFR and BMM markers, we took their weighted cumulative averages from visit 1 (1987-89) to visit 5 (2011-13).

RESULTS

Lower eGFR, regardless of equations used, was not robustly associated with high CAC or ECC. Among BMM markers, only higher phosphorus levels, even within the normal range, showed robust associations with high CAC (only when modeled continuously) and ECC, independently of kidney function (e.g., odds ratio 1.94 [95%CI 1.38-2.73] for high aortic valve calcification, in the highest vs. lowest quartile). Results were generally consistent when analyzing any CAC or ECC, although cystatin C-based eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 became significantly associated with mitral valve calcification (odds ratio 1.69 [1.10-2.60]).

CONCLUSIONS

Among kidney and BMM measures tested, only serum phosphorus demonstrated robust associations with both CAC and ECC, supporting a key role of phosphorus in the pathophysiology of vascular calcification.

Abstract P154: Diabetes Risk Factor Control and Infection Risk in Older Adults: The ARIC Study

Introduction: Diabetes has been tied to infection risk in mechanistic studies. However, the relationship between diabetes and infection hasn't been well documented in epidemiologic studies, especially in vulnerable older adult populations.

Hypothesis: We hypothesize that diabetes will be associated with increased risk of inpatient and outpatient infection in older adults.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of diabetes and ‘any’ and ‘hospitalized infection’ with data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Infection outcomes were ascertained with ICD9/10 codes from Medicare CMS outpatient claims and hospital discharge diagnoses (follow up from (Visit 5) 2011-2013 to December 31, 2019). We calculated the 8-year cumulative incidence of ‘any’ or ‘hospitalized” infection using Kaplan-Meier analysis. We used Cox regression to examine the association between diabetes and infection and adjusted for confounders.

Results: We included 2,154 participants (mean age at Visit 5: 74.4 years, 51.4% female). During median follow up of 2.91 years, there were 1,141 incident infections and 661 incident hospitalizations with infection. Compared to those without diabetes, older adults with diabetes had higher cumulative incidence of any infection (69% vs 63%) and hospitalized infection (36% vs 27%)(Figure).This excess risk remained after adjusting for confounders, with adjusted HR for ‘any’ infection indicating a higher but non-significant risk in diabetic older patients [HR:1.12, 95% CI (0.99, 1.26)], and adjusted HR for ‘hospitalized” infection indicating a significantly higher risk in diabetic older patients [HR:1.37, 95% CI (1.16, 1.63)].

Conclusion: Given the aging American population and COVID-19 pandemic, it is critical to identify factors that increase susceptibility to infection in older adults. Our study suggests diabetes confers an increased risk for hospitalized infection in older adults. Improving diabetes management may reduce infection-related morbidity and mortality.

Abstract P174: The Association Between Infection-Related Hospitalization and Incident Heart Failure: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Introduction: Infections are associated with worse clinical outcomes among patients with heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the influence of infection-related hospitalizations on development of incident HF and its subtype.

Hypothesis: We hypothesize that those with an infection-related hospitalization (hereafter ‘infection’) compared to those without infection, will experience an increased rate of incident HF events (any HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF)).

Methods: We examined 14,398 participants enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were HF free at visit 1 (1987-1989). Hospitalized infections and HF were identified via participant self-report and active surveillance of hospitalizations. Among the hospitalized, infection was further defined using ICD-9/10 codes in the first five positions of hospital records. A subset of HF events was further classified as HFpEF or HFrEF via chart abstraction and adjudication by centrally trained and certified physicians. Infection was treated as a time-varying exposure and the co-occurrence of infection and HF in the same hospital visit were excluded. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between infection and incident HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF.

Results: The overall baseline sample was 54% (7,835 of 14,398) female, 26% (3,688 of 14,398) Black and had a mean(SD) age of 54(5.8). Mean(SD) time to infection was 16.1(8.7) years, and 2.3(7.5) years from infection to incident HF. Average follow-up among the full sample was 23.0(8.5). Overall, 46% (6,603 of 14,398) had an infection and 3,561 developed any HF. Among participants with subtype adjudication, 470 had HFpEF and 450 had HFrEF. Infection-related hospitalization was associated with an increased risk for both HFpEF and HFrEF (Table).

Conclusion: Infection-related hospitalization was associated with both incident HFpEF and HFrEF. A stronger effect is seen among those with HFpEF.

Abstract P433: Predictors of Self-Reported Medication Non-Adherence in Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Introduction: Medication non-adherence increases the risk of hospitalization and mortality in older adults. Evidence from previous studies was not conclusive due to small sample size or lack of adjustment for potential confounders. This study aims to investigate the prevalence and predictors of medication non-adherence in older adults, considering both individual-level and neighborhood-level factors.

Methods: We studied participants (aged 66-90 years) who were on at least one medication at visit 5 (2011-2013) of the ARIC Study. Potential predictors included demographic factors, individual-level and neighborhood-level socioeconomic factors, behavioral factors, depressive symptoms, and cognitive function. We estimated the prevalence of self-reported medication adherence using the Morisky Green Levine medication adherence questionnaire and considered intermediate and low as medication non-adherence. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify independent predictors of medication non-adherence, further adjusting for race-center, insurance types, comorbidities, and number of medications.

Results: Among 5304 participants (mean age of 75.5 [SD 5.1] years, 21.6% Black, and 58.2% female), 2.3% and 37.1% reported low and intermediate medication adherence, respectively. After adjustment, age 66-74 (odds ratio [OR]= 1.23 [95% CI, 1.10-1.38]), current drinker (1.31 [1.10-1.55]), lack of physical activity (PA) (1.18 [1.01-1.37] for intermediate PA; 1.38 [1.21-1.58] for low PA), and depressive symptoms (2.30 [1.82-2.91]) were significant predictors of medication non-adherence ( Table ). Education and ADI were not associated with medication non-adherence.

Conclusions: We found that almost 40% of older adults have medication non-adherence. Unhealthy lifestyle factors and depressive symptoms were associated with medication non-adherence. Education and neighborhood-level SES were not. Depression is an important modifiable factor to improve medication adherence in older adults.

Abstract MP01: Midlife Diabetes and Lifetime Risk of Dementia: During 30 Years Follow-Up From the ARIC Study

Introduction: Diabetes is associated with both dementia and death. Ignoring the competing risk of mortality may result in overestimation of the lifetime of dementia.

Hypothesis: The lifetime cumulative incidence of dementia associated with diabetes will be much lower when taking into account the competing risk of mortality, particularly at the oldest ages.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (midlife baseline at visit 2, 1990-1992). Diabetes was defined as a self-reported physician diagnosis, diabetes medication use, or HbA1C of 6.5% or greater. Incident dementia was ascertained via active surveillance involving interviews and adjudication. We conducted survival analysis using age as the time scale with age 50 as the origin and December 31st, 2019 as the administrative censoring date. Dementia risk was analyzed with death treated as a censoring event or as a competing risk.

Results: Among 13,381 participants, 1798 (13.4%) had diabetes at baseline (mean age: 56.8 years). Using a standard Cox model, diabetes was associated with an increased hazard of dementia (HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.21, 1.52) and death (HR 1.87; 95% CI 1.76, 1.99). Censoring mortality (ignoring competing risk), diabetes was associated with a higher cumulative incidence of dementia at all ages ( Figure A ). Competing risk models showed a lower risk of dementia than models censoring death. Furthermore, diabetes was associated with a higher risk of dementia only before age 85 but a lower cumulative risk after age 85 due to the large excess risk of mortality ( Figures B and C ).

Conclusion Standard methods dramatically overestimate the lifetime risk of dementia in persons with and without diabetes. Competing risk models are critical for accurate absolute risk estimates, particularly in the oldest ages. Interventions which increase life expectancy in patients with diabetes may increase the cumulative risk of dementia in old age.